Internet Union S.A.’s (WSE:IUS) 51% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

Internet Union S.A. (WSE:IUS) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 51% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 67%.

Since its price has surged higher, Internet Union may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or “P/E”) ratio of 30.4x, since almost half of all companies in Poland have P/E ratios under 12x and even P/E’s lower than 6x are not unusual. Although, it’s not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it’s so lofty.

For instance, Internet Union’s receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You’d really hope so, otherwise you’re paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Internet Union

We don’t have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Internet Union’s earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

Internet Union’s P/E ratio would be typical for a company that’s expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 23% decrease to the company’s bottom line. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year EPS growth is still a noteworthy 5.3% in total. Although it’s been a bumpy ride, it’s still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market’s one-year forecast for expansion of 10% shows it’s noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it’s alarming that Internet Union’s P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren’t willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Internet Union’s P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. We’d say the price-to-earnings ratio’s power isn’t primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We’ve established that Internet Union currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders’ investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You need to take note of risks, for example – Internet Union has 4 warning signs (and 1 which can’t be ignored) we think you should know about.

It’s important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.